Wish you happy new year

Morning update Thu, 12th Mar:

Fading Gap up, intraday traders may initiate shorts at open to cover EOD.
Expect a gap up open for Indian markets and the nifty may lose opening gains gradually as the trade progresses. The intra-day traders may initiate ‘shorts’ at open itself to cover at EOD.


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Morning update Mon, 9th Mar:

Weak open-downtrend resumes-Hold shorts to cover EOD-Risky traders may carry shorts for Thursday open.

On Thursday, it was mentioned “The traders must exit all long / CE positions before Friday EOD and use this bounce to re-initiate fresh shorts / PE on Fri EOD”. Expect the weak open for Indian market and the nifty may try to retain levels for initial hour followed by further drifting. The intra-day traders may initiate short / PE at open to cover EOD. The high risk traders may carry shorts for Thursday open. Due to ‘Time decay’ (holidays) it’s better to short CE than holding PE.


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Morning update Thu, 5th Mar:

Flat open, Prefer intraday trades only & risky trades may carry long for Friday. The Fri bounce must be used to exit all long positions if any as well initiate fresh shorts / PE.

The nifty paused after consistent fall indicates strong chances for a dead cat bounce on Fri. The traders should prefer intraday trades only and the risky traders may carry longs (in very small qty) for Fri. The traders must exit all long / CE positions before Friday EOD and use this bounce to re-initiate fresh shorts / PE on Fri EOD.


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Morning update Wed, 4th Mar:

Flat or some –ve open, use close TSL to shorts / PE. Book profits before EOD. Prefer intra till Fri EOD & reenter short / PE at Fri EOD.

Most of the chat room members are holding shorts / PE heavily (in good profits too). Today, expect yet another flat or slightly –ve open and the nifty may trade weak for the day. Although it’s not an end to the downfall towards 52-week’s low of 2252; there is strong possibility for dow induced bounce tom and or Friday. So traders may use close TSL to their short positions or cover before EOD. The traders may re-enter PE / short mode again on Friday.


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Morning update Wed, 25th Feb:

+ve open, use close TSL to long positions. If TSL hit, prefer intra-day trades with strict SL till last hour. Exit all positions to go flat on exp day.

Expect a +ve open in accordance to Asian counterparts. The traders holding long positions (as mentioned yesterday) should use close TSL and in case of TSL induced exit one should prefer intra day moves till last hour of trade. The traders should exit all positions before EOD and prefer to go flat on exp day.


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Morning update Tue, 24th Feb:

-ve open, use close TSL to short / PE positions. If TSL hit, prefer intra-day trades with strict SL till last hour. In last hour:- BTST: NF

Expect a Gap down open in accordance to Asian counterparts. The traders holding short / PE positions should use close TSL and in case of TSL induced exit one should prefer intra day moves till last hour of trade. In the last hour of trade, the traders should exit all short / PE positions and risky traders may initiate long in NF as BTST.


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Morning update Fri, 20th Feb:

-ve open, use close TSL to short / PE positions. If TSL hit, prefer intra-day longs with strict SL till last hour. In last hour:- BTST: 2900PE, STBT: NF

Expect a weak open in accordance to Asian counterparts. However there are strong chances for some recovery post Indian open. The traders holding short / PE positions should use close TSL and in case of TSL induced exit one should prefer intra day moves till last hour of trade. In the last hour of trade, the traders should re-initiate short in NF and Feb2900 PE as BTST.


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Morning update Wed, 18th Feb:

Weak open, traders may go short with TSL for tomorrow open. The trade below 2750 could trigger further down move.

Expect a weak open with gap of 25-30 points and traders holding shorts / PE should add TSL at open itself. The trade below 2750 could trigger yet another down move for 2.6 K levels. In spite of some intra-day corrections, the traders may carry shorts /PE for tomorrow.


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Morning update Tue, 17th Feb:

Weak open followed by further down. Short NF / buy 2900PE or 2800PE at open to cover EOD.

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Morning update Mon, 16th Feb:

Expect a flat open for Indian markets and the traders should prefer intra-day trades only on this interim budget day.

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Morning update Fri, 13th Feb:

Expect a flat open for Indian markets. The traders should prefer intra-day trade with short mode and all short / PE must be covered before EOD. Updates would be added through SMS channel.

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SMS CHANNEL

Some readers of this blog mentioned that they can’t read blog / track chat room in their office hours or while travelling. For those readers ‘SMS CHANNEL’ link is provided. They should subscribe ‘Niftypredictor’ on their mobile. Every update on this blog would be received on their mobile by SMS.

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Morning update Thu, 12th Feb:

Expect a slightly –ve open for Indian markets followed by a range-bound trade and the traders should prefer intra-day trades for small gains.
Those who are holding longs /CE must exit on any intra-day bounce or till EOD. At EOD, traders may go short or initiate PE to cover on Friday EOD.


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Morning update Wed, 11th Feb:

Expect a gap down open for Indian markets and the traders who are holding shorts / PE should try to exit at open and prefer intra-day trades thereafter. There are some chances for recovery and the intra-day traders may initiate long with strict SL. High risk traders may carry long / CE for tomorrow, to cover Thursday EOD.

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Morning update Tue, 10th Feb:

Expect a flat or slightly –ve open for Indian markets and the nifty may trade weak in accordance with other Asian counterparts. The traders may initiate short / PE at open to cover at EOD.

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Morning update Mon, 9th Feb:

The Asians opened +ve with the dow induced influences, stimulus, bailout plans. However, they are losing their morning gains as trade progresses. Expect a flat open for Indian markets and the traders who had initiated shorts / PE should use TSL. The intra-day traders may initiate shorts on bounce to cover EOD.

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Morning update Fri, 6th Feb:

Yesterday, it was mentioned to initiate longs / CE post noon and carry for Friday………………
Today, expect a +ve open for Indian markets and the intra-day traders may initiate long /2800CE at open itself. All such longs / CE must be covered in the last hour of trade. The traders should not carry any long positions for next week. In the last hour of trade, the positional traders may initiate short / 2800PE for next week.


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Morning update Thu, 5th Feb:

Expect a ‘flat’ open for Indian markets and the nifty may trade weak till noon. Any decline till noon must be used to exit shorts / PE and initiate long / CE. The traders may carry such longs / CE for Friday.

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Morning update Wed, 4th Feb:

Expect a slightly +ve open for Indian markets and nifty may try to breach yesterday high. The traders who are holding longs / CE must use this bounce to exit all long positions. The intra-day traders (long) must be very cautious with strict SL. The intra-day high before Europeans open should be used to initiate short / PE and the traders may carry those shorts / PE for Thursday open.

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Morning update Tue, 3rd Feb:

Yesterday it was mentioned to book good profits in shorts / PE at EOD. Today, expect a flat or slightly +ve open and the traders should try intra-day trades for small gains only. There are strong chances for a small bounce and nifty may try to regain y’day losses as well retain levels till Wed noon. The traders may try intra-day longs with close SL till Wed noon.

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Morning update Mon, 2ed Feb:

On Thursday, 29th, it was mentioned to go short / initiate PE. On Fri we got a gap down as expected and some traders booked profits at open itself. The recovery on Fri given excellent opportunity to add more shorts / average PE.
Today, expect yet another weak open and nifty will drift further. The traders may use any intra-day bounce to short again.
All shorts / PE should be covered at EOD. High risk traders may carry shorts in small qty for Tue.


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Morning update Thu, 29thJan:

Yesterday, the NF buy call @2785 hits the exact target of 2850 as well most of the option traders almost doubled the investment in 2800CE. Those who are holding long /CE should use TSL after open itself.
Today, expect a +ve open and being a F & O exp day, the traders should try to exit all long positions before 02:00 pm and initiate Feb NF short / Feb 2900PE to carry for Mon 2ed Feb (short Feb 2900CE could be a better option).


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Morning update Wed, 28thJan:

Expect a flat or +ve open for Indian markets and traders should prefer intra-day trades initially. The period post noon indicates an upward trend heading towards a ‘bullish’ expiry. Any intra-day decline should be utilized to initiate long and such long should be carried for Thu open.

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Morning update Fri, 23rdJan:

Expect a flat open for Indian markets and some weakening is possible. Those who are holding shorts / PE should use TSL to save profits. High risk traders may carry shorts / PE for Tue open.

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Morning update Thu, 22thJan:

Expect a +ve open for Indian markets and traders should prefer intra-day trades initially. Any indication of weakening should be used to initiate PE (of higher levels only) and such PE / shorts should be carried for Fri.

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Morning update Tue, 20thJan:

Yesterday it was mentioned to cover all longs / CE before last hour of trade and the traders who had initiated ‘short’ / PE would be in good profit with –ve open today. The traders should prefer intraday trades with ‘short on rise’.

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Morning update Mon, 19thJan:

On Friday it was mentioned in the chat room to initiate 2800CE for Mon. Today, expect a +ve open and the traders who had initiated long / CE should use TSL to protect profits. One may initiate with long for intra-day trade and all longs / CE should be covered before last hour of trade.

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Morning update Fri, 16thJan:

Expect a flat or slightly +ve open for Indian markets and the nifty may try to retain levels for first hour of trade. Any indications of intra-day weakening post first hour should be used to add shorts / PE and the traders must book profits in shorts / PE at the end of day. The oncoming Monday indicates strong chances for yet another bounce and its better not to carry any un hedged positions.

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Morning update Thu, 15thJan:

Yesterday it was clearly mentioned that “There are some chances for ‘heavyweight’ induced bounce which could be further used to short again”. Expect a gap down open today and those who have shorted at EOD (y’day) should use a close TSL to save profits after open. The traders may hold shorts / PE as well add more on intra-day bounce to cover at Fri EOD.

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Morning update Wed, 14thJan:

Morning update Wed, 14thJan:
The last hour recovery in dow and +ve futures along with Asians trading firm this morning have influenced a pause for further drifting in nifty. Still no major up move is expected in initial hour and traders should try to reduce short / PE positions in the first hour of trade as well use close TSL for rest of the session. There are some chances for ‘heavyweight’ induced bounce which could be further used to short again.


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Morning update Tue, 13thJan:

Expect a flat open followed by some volatile movements initially. Yesterday, it was mentioned in chat room to book profits in short / PE and re-initiate today on any bounce. Those who are holding shorts / PE should use close TSL to save profits and if TSL struck, one may re-enter on some bounce. The traders should re-enter in short mode or in PE before Europeans open and hold for Wed open. The nifty may start further drifting after Europeans open and for tomorrow, there are some strong chances for a gap down open.

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Morning update Mon, 12thJan:

Those who are holding shorts / PE should use close TSL to save profits and if TSL struck, one may re-enter on some bounce. Those who have already booked shorts / PE should re-enter on bounce and carry for next two days.

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Morning update Fri, 9thJan:

Those who are holding shorts / PE should use close TSL to save profits and if TSL struck, one may re-enter on some bounce. Those who have already booked shorts / PE should re-enter on bounce and carry for next week.


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Patience paid well

The positional call was mentioned on Mon to hold shorts and buy 3100PE / 3000PE. Most of the members of chat room were holding 3100PE @ 130 and even lower (averaged )
Today, 3100PE blasted to 270.
This is the best example, how patience pays.
Some ‘Bull’ were challenging PE in chat room. I hope, the ‘Time’ have replied them well.



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Morning update Mon, 5thJan:

Morning update Mon, 5thJan:

The much awaited stimulus package, bullish US & European markets on Friday and the gap up open for Asians today morning could make traders ‘biased’ for 3.1K+ levels but it could be a ‘bull’s trap’.
Though the Asians opened gap up this morning, they could loose their opening gains gradually and there are strong chances to close in red.
As already mentioned in update for Friday, expect a flat or +ve open for Indian markets. However this bullish move would be for a very short life (just first hour of trade). Those who are long should exit at open itself and initiate short (NF) or buy 3100PE / 3000PE. The nifty may try to retain levels for first hour of trade followed by drifting to close in red.
The breach of 3010 would impart upper edge for bears and Tue indicates strong chances for a gap down open. The traders may carry their shorts / PE for Tue.


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Morning update Fri, 2ed Jan:

Morning update Fri, 2ed Jan:

The New year started on a +ve note and nifty touched 3050 mark as mentioned.
With many bullish signals indicating the probable target of 3.1K levels, the market is heading towards the possible fall on Mon.
Today’s trade & Mon open would be a intermediate phase between the achieved rise and probable fall ahead.
Though the Asians (Hangseng) opened on a highly bullish note, their up move is likely to be restricted after Indian open.
The traders should prefer intra-day trade with strict SL for either side. Any indications for weakening after a few minute of trade should be used to go short or buy 3100PE. The open for Monday would be a hurdle to carry those shorts and the traders should judge better with relation to performance of Europeans and Dow futures. (one may enter short / PE after Mon open also to avoid risk)
On Monday, the Nifty would drift after open followed by a gap down on Tue and the shorts / PE could generate good profits.



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Morning update Thu, 1st Jan:

Morning update Thu, 1st Jan:

Wish you all a Happy New Year.
Yesterday, it was a range bound trade with low volume as expected. Today, with most of the world markets being closed, expect yet another day with low volume but in a positive direction.
The traders may initiate long / call at the open for intra-day trade to cover at EOD.
Though the intra-day trade range is small, the crossover and trade above 2980 can take nifty towards 3050.


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